Half of Britain’s coronavirus patients have been sent home against EU advice

Half of Britain’s coronavirus patients are being treated at home amid mounting fears the NHS does not have enough beds to cope with the outbreak.

Forty-five people with mild forms of the killer virus – nearly half of the 99 Britons currently suffering from the illness – are caring for themselves in their bedrooms and being supported by daily calls with health officials. 

Although there have been a total of 116 cases in the country so far, 17 have recovered. Those who have been sent home have been told to lock themselves away from their own family and scrub down shared surfaces in bathrooms and kitchens.

The NHS’s move towards ‘home monitoring’ of those with the disease wherever possible is another acknowledgement that officials are bracing themselves for a surge in cases.  

Just hours before the policy shift last night, England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty admitted half of coronavirus cases in the UK are likely to occur over just three weeks and the NHS does not have enough beds to cope with them.

But the new guidance now puts Britain at odds with European Centre for Disease Control guidelines which state patients must be separated from the public and isolated in hospital in the first stages of an epidemic.

The government – whose chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance today admitted the world is unlikely to get a vaccine in time for the outbreak – is also ‘looking at’ possibly isolating entire households as part of its four-stage ‘battle plan’ if the crisis continues to escalate and cases become more widespread.

Speaking on BBC Question Time last night, Health Secretary Matt Hancock told coronavirus patients caring for themselves at home to shut themselves away in their room and avoid their loved ones. 

He said: ‘People should try to self-isolate from their families, not only go home, try not to go out shopping, definitely don’t use public transport, but within your own home you should also try to self-isolate.’

Mr Hancock added that, as the father of three children, he understood that ‘can be difficult and some people have caring responsibilities’, but people should try to keep to themselves as much as possible.

It came as the Department of Health confirmed the first coronavirus death on home turf last night, believed to be a woman in her 70s from Berkshire with underlying health conditions. Last month a Briton died from the virus after being infected on a cruise ship in Japan.

The patient, understood to be a 75-year-old woman, tested positive for the killer infection on Wednesday night at the Royal Berkshire Hospital in Reading before succumbing to the illness on Thursday. Elderly patients are known to be at higher risk of suffering deadly complications because of their weaker immune systems.  

There are now 90 confirmed cases of the coronavirus in Britain, after three more were confirmed in Scotland this morning

A commuter on the London Underground wears a gas mask on Friday morning as the capital was gripped by coronavirus fears after the UK's first death

A commuter on the London Underground wears a gas mask on Friday morning as the capital was gripped by coronavirus fears after the UK’s first death

An LBC radio producer photographed a passenger on the London Underground 'protecting' themselves from coronavirus by hiding underneath a quilt

An LBC radio producer photographed a passenger on the London Underground ‘protecting’ themselves from coronavirus by hiding underneath a quilt 

BRITONS WHO HAVE TRAVELLED TO ANY PART OF ITALY WHO FEEL ILL WILL BE TOLD TO SELF-ISOLATE

Public Health England today announced that Britons returning from the whole of Italy are to self-isolate if they develop symptoms of the deadly coronavirus.

Chief medical officer Professor Chris Witty told a press conference today that the current advice for those returning from northern Italy is to be extended to the whole of the country.

While confirming that the government was still in the phase of containing the virus, entering the delay process is the ‘direction of travel’ for the future, Professor Whitty said.

Since the coronavirus reached British shores, the government and health bodies have been in the ‘contain’ phase, trying to stop the infection’s ability to spread.

In recent days, with evidence of community transmission, it is thought that PHE could attempt to push a major epidemic back to the summer in the hopes of slowing the rate of infections. COVID-19, which has infected 115 in the UK, is thought to spread faster in the cold.

Sir Patrick Vallance, the Government’s chief scientific adviser amid the outbreak, told Sky News this morning that ministers were looking at isolating whole households during the outbreak. It would mean that if a relative or flatmate tested positive the entire family or building would be quarantined for at least two weeks.

Sir Patrick described self-isolation as ‘really critical’ and ‘a very key part of what can be done’. He said: ‘There are then more extreme versions when you think about households isolating as well. Self-isolation is possibly usually within houses, it means that you stay in your room, you get things delivered to it and stay there for 14 days.

‘Household isolation would mean the household – that’s obviously an more extreme move. Again, we’re modelling that we’re looking at that in terms of what the options might be.’

Sir Patrick admitted the Government was moving into the delay phase of the outbreak after failing to contain it. He said that ‘timing was really, really important’, adding ‘ if you go too early you ask people to do things which aren’t effective for too long, by which time it becomes difficult to get the right motivation to do it.

‘If you do it too late, then obviously you’ve missed the chance to make the big difference.’ 

Sir Patrick also said he does not think a working vaccine will be produced in time for the coronavirus outbreak. He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘I don’t think we will get the vaccine for this outbreak. I don’t think we’ll get something in time or at scale for this outbreak.’

As coronavirus fears continued to grip the nation: 

  • Retailers in the UK started to disinfect customers entering their stores as fears around the coronavirus continue to escalate; 
  • Health Secretary Matt Hancock faced demands to say how the government plans to stop coronavirus panic buying – as members of the public told him it is a real problem;
  • Britons who feel ill after returning home from any part of Italy now told to self-isolate for two weeks to stop the spread of coronavirus, in a dramatic ramping up of Government advice;
  • More than 100 Britons are stranded on board a cruise ship off the coast of California where medics are testing passengers for coronavirus;
  • World Health Organization and Chinese scientists published statistics showing men are 65 per cent more likely than women to die from coronavirus;
  • The Vatican reported its first case of the coronavirus, days after Pope Francis tested negative for the deadly infection which has infected 98,000 people worldwide.
The UK's first coronavirus death was an 'older patient who had underlying health conditions' who was being treated at the Royal Berkshire Hospital

The UK’s first coronavirus death was an ‘older patient who had underlying health conditions’ who was being treated at the Royal Berkshire Hospital

UK chief medical officer, Professor Chris Whitty, yesterday told Parliament's Health & Social Care Committee that it's 'highly likely' that the coronavirus is now spreading inside the UK

UK chief medical officer, Professor Chris Whitty, yesterday told Parliament’s Health & Social Care Committee that it’s ‘highly likely’ that the coronavirus is now spreading inside the UK

CORONAVIRUS IS SPREADING INSIDE THE UK, SAYS CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER

UK cases of coronavirus will keep rising and infections are taking place between Britons, Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty said today.

Professor Whitty said hopes of containing the virus largely in its origin site in China were ‘slim to zero’.

He warned ‘community transmission’ was happening in the UK, and the government’s focus had moved from the ‘contain’ phase to focus on efforts to ‘delay’ the spread.

Speaking to Parliament's Health Select Committee about coronavirus cases in the UK, Professor Chris Whitty said today: 'I'm expecting the number only to go up'

Speaking to Parliament’s Health Select Committee about coronavirus cases in the UK, Professor Chris Whitty said today: ‘I’m expecting the number only to go up’

Giving evidence to the Health Select Committee, Prof Whitty said: ‘I’m expecting the number only to go up. 

‘There are now several – not large numbers – but several cases where we cannot see where this has come from in terms of a clear transmission, either because someone has come directly from overseas or because they’ve had a close contact with someone who has recently returned from overseas.

‘That I think makes it highly likely therefore that there is some level of community transmission of this virus in the UK now.’

He added: ‘It is here at very low levels at this point in time, but that should be the working assumption on which we go forward. 

Asked by chairman Jeremy Hunt whether the government had shifted its focus from ‘contain’ to ‘delay’, Prof Whitty said: We are now basically mainly delay.’ 

There are now 90 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the UK after Scotland declared three more.

Overall, current figures show 80 cases in England, six in Scotland, one in Wales and three in Northern Ireland.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson offered his sympathies to the patient’s family, saying: ‘Our sympathies are very much with the victim and their family.’ England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty said he was ‘very sorry’ to report the news and offered his ‘sincere condolences’ to the family.

Health chiefs fear the patient, who had previously ‘been in and out of hospital’, caught the virus in the UK because they had not recently travelled abroad – eight of the 29 cases confirmed today were patients who got infected on British soil. Only 51 patients were known to have the infection two days ago.   

Forty-five patients have already been told to self-isolate at home instead of getting hospital treatment because they have minor flu-like symptoms, amid mounting fears overwhelmed NHS hospitals won’t be able to cope with an inevitable outbreak. 

Professor Whitty, who today said catching the virus in old age does not automatically mean you would be ‘a goner’ and elderly people don’t yet need to batten down the hatches at home, admitted the infection is definitely spreading in the UK and not just among those who have travelled abroad, confirming the fears of millions of anxious Britons. 

As the crisis began to accelerate, Number 10 ratcheted up its response to the second ‘delay’ phase of its ‘battle plan’, which could see thousands of NHS operations cancelled and troops deployed on streets and experts said there was now a ‘slim to zero’ chance that the virus could be stopped.  

Yesterday Mr Johnson tried to reassure Britons he would ‘keep the country fed’ during the outbreak, in a bid to stop panic-buyers from stockpiling food. Supermarket aisles remained bare across the UK today as shoppers continued to scoop up household goods such as hand soap, nappies and dried foods like pasta and rice.

Manufacturers have ramped up production and are working at ‘full capacity’ to ensure shelves can be re-stocked, while retailers are even considering rationing household essentials such as toilet paper in response.  

Meanwhile Flybe today blamed the coronavirus outbreak for its sudden collapse – despite long-running financial troubles – which has left thousands of travellers stranded around the country and put 2,000 people’s jobs at risk.  

Mr Johnson offered his sympathies to the family of the first person in the UK to die after testing positive for coronavirus. He said: ‘But the situation is pretty much as it has been in the sense that we are still in the contain phase, though now our scientists and medical advisers are making preparations for the delay phase.’ 

Speaking at an emergency press conference organised by the Department of Health, Professor Chris Witty said: ‘I’m very sorry to announce that a patient earlier on today died from novel coronavirus. The patient was an elderly person who had underlying health conditions. The family have asked for complete privacy. Our condolences are absolutely with the family.’

Of the 116 cases in the UK, 105 are in England, six in Scotland, three in Northern Ireland and two in Wales. 

CUSTOMERS ARE SPRAYED WITH DISINFECTANT AMID CORONAVIRUS PANIC

Retailers in the UK have now started to disinfect customers entering their stores as fears around the coronavirus continue to escalate.

Video footage taken outside a Costco in Croydon showed customers lining up outside the entrance to the store, where a member of staff was handing out hand sanitiser and tissue that the customers were cleaning their hands with before they were allowed to enter.

Customers were seen pushing their shopping trolleys towards the entrance of the store on Thursday afternoon before being stopped by a staff member.

This is while shelves in supermarkets up and down the country were left empty as customer rushed to buy disinfectant products and other preventative products.

It comes as the competition watchdog yesterday warned that firms taking advantage of the panic by hiking prices of items such as hand sanitisers and disinfectants could be prosecuted or fined amid shortages of the products across the country.

Customers in Marks & Spencer stores have now also been limited to the amount of hand sanitiser they are able to purchase.

The process is now similar to that of when a customer wants to buy a product containing alcohol.

If using a self service machine a notice flashes up on screen and a staff member has to come over to grant authorisation for the product to be sold.

The Scottish government this morning confirmed three new cases of the killer coronavirus, including one in Forth Valley, one in Greater Glasgow and Clyde and another one in Grampian. It said all three cases were contacts of known cases – but told MailOnline it was ‘incorrect’ they had caught the virus in the UK. 

Twenty-five new cases were diagnosed in England this afternoon, including 17 who caught the virus abroad and eight who were infected in the UK. Of the 105 cases in England, 25 are in London, 17 in the north-west, 17 in the south-east, 15 in the south-west, 10 in the north-east and Yorkshire, nine in the midlands, eight in the east. Four have yet to be determined.  

Wales then confirmed its second case moments after the Department of Health updated its toll, saying a patient in Cardiff had tested positive after returning home from a trip to northern Italy – the centre of Europe’s escalating crisis. MailOnline understands this case wasn’t counted in the UK toll announced at 4pm, meaning the total number of infected patients in the UK is 116. 

Fears were last night raised that the coronavirus was spreading through the NHS, after two patients at King’s College London and one in Manchester were confirmed to have caught the deadly infection.

However, the hospitals have refused to clarify whether the cases were in patients who caught the virus while in hospital, or before they were admitted. It is also unclear if the Manchester patient had been taken to hospital for  

Healthcare workers may be at high risk of contracting and spreading the virus because they come into close contact with sick people and meet a lot of different patients, visitors and colleagues.

Four healthcare workers are known to be among the infected patients in the UK. One of the first people in the UK to be diagnosed with the virus was a GP working in Brighton, and another hospital doctor in nearby Worthing contracted the illness – it is thought they both stayed in the same chalet in the French Alps as ‘super-spreader’ Steve Walsh. 

The Worthing doctor was believed to have visited a nursing home before they were diagnosed, but was not known to have infected anybody there.

Elderly people are most likely to die if they catch the coronavirus, which caused a disease called COVID-19 and can lead to pneumonia.

But Professor Whitty said today that catching it was not a death sentence for the elderly, even though the fatality rate for over-80s is almost one in 10.

He said: ‘Even in the most vulnerable, oldest groups, in the very stressed health service which Hubei was at the point when most of the data come out of, the great majority of people who caught this virus – and not everybody will – survived it, the great majority, over 90 per cent.

Costco in Croydon

Costco in Croydon

It seemed there was a back log of customers outside the Costco in Croydon as they were given handsanitiser on entrance 

The action from Costco comes as many cleaning products were sold out in stores up and down the country. Pictured above is a Tesco store is seen stripped of toilet paper amid warnings shoppers must avoid panic buying essentials

The action from Costco comes as many cleaning products were sold out in stores up and down the country. Pictured above is a Tesco store is seen stripped of toilet paper amid warnings shoppers must avoid panic buying essentials 

Coronavirus patients are told to recover at HOME: People who have just mild symptoms will not be hospitalised

Coronavirus patients are no longer all being admitted to hospital, British health officials have confirmed.

Anyone confirmed to have the virus who is not seriously unwell or at risk of becoming more dangerously infected can recover at home.

At least 45 people out of the 116 confirmed in the UK have already been instructed to stay in their own houses and wait for their illness to blow over. 

Until the new rule was drafted – it is not clear when it began – all confirmed patients had to be taken to a specialist hospital unit in one of five locations around the country, some hundreds of miles from their hometowns.

An extra 29 cases of the coronavirus have been diagnosed in the UK today, bringing the total to 116 – 105 in England, six in Scotland, three in Northern Ireland and two in Wales.

Officials said it was ‘perfectly reasonable’ for people to recover at home because COVID-19 is a ‘mild illness’. 

Chief medical officer for the government, Professor Chris Whitty, said that most people with minor cases of the virus will no longer be hospitalised.

Instead they will be asked to stay at home, where they pose less of a risk to other people. 

 ‘So, I think it’s easy to get a perception that if you are older and you get this virus then you’re a goner. 

‘Absolutely not, the great majority of people will recover from this virus, even if they are in their 80s.’

The chief medical officer and Jeremy Hunt, chair of Parliament’s health select committee have said the Government has now moved into the second phase of its coronavirus action plan, the ‘delay’ phase.

Phase one of four – ‘contain’ – was intended to isolate small numbers of cases and stop the virus spreading inside the UK but appears to have failed.

Professor Whitty said there was now evidence of community transmission between people who had no connections to overseas cases or returning travellers.

He said: ‘We have moved from a situation where we are mainly in contain, with some delay built in, to we are now mainly delay.’

Trying to push a major epidemic back to the summer might be useful if it could slow the virus’s spread – it is thought to spread faster in the cold – and could mean it hits the NHS at a time when it’s less pressed.

Professor Whitty warned that access to critical care beds could be under the most pressure in the NHS as the virus escalates.

Medical students – final year junior doctors – could even be drafted in and given more clinical responsibilities if an epidemic breaks out, in a bid to help the NHS to cope with soaring numbers of patients. 

There have already been discussions about asking retired doctors to return to the workforce to help if NHS staff have to go off sick – the Government’s worst case scenario predictions suggest up to one in five people (13million) could have to take time off work. 

More than 96,000 people around the world have been officially diagnosed with the coronavirus and more than 3,300 have died

WHAT ARE OTHER COUNTRIES DOING TO TRY AND STOP CORONAVIRUS SPREADING?

Italy, which is battling its own crisis with more than 3,000 people infected and 107 dead, has urged residents to avoid kissing and has closed all its schools for a fortnight.   

The government has put 11 towns into total lockdown and is also considering closing cinemas and theatres and banning large public events, The Guardian reported.

People over the age of 75 have been told to stay at home to avoid getting ill.

In France, a country with around 285 infections, people have been advised to stop using the traditional cheek kiss greeting, la bise, and officials are urging citizens to wash their hands regularly.

The government has commandeered the entire country’s supply of face masks so it can make sure there are enough for medical workers and coronavirus patients.

Supermarket shelves are reportedly being stripped bare in Germany, where the government advises that households always keep at least 10 days’ worth of supplies in case of a disaster.

The outbreak in Germany has worsened in recent days and there are now at least 349 people confirmed to have the infection – more than any county in the Far East except China or South Korea.  

And in Spain, where there have been 222 cases, officials have advised that crowds be banned from some international sports matches and that large events be cancelled.

A batch of three new coronavirus infections in Scotland today doubled the country’s tally to six.

The Scottish Government announced that the people who had been diagnosed were ‘clinically well’ and receiving ‘appropriate care’. They are all known contacts of existing cases and are believed to have caught the virus inside the UK. 

Scotland’s chief medical officer, Dr Catherine Calderwood, reassured the public that Scotland is well prepared for an outbreak and said: ‘Clinicians are now conducting contact tracing, the process of gathering details of the places those who have tested positive visited and the people they have been in contact with.

‘Close contact involves either face-to-face contact or spending more than 15 minutes within two metres of an infected person. 

‘The risk is very low in situations where someone may have passed a patient on the street or in a shop.

‘Health protection teams will contact those who are at risk from the current cases – those who are not contacted are not at risk.’   

Exact whereabouts of many UK patients are unknown but 80 are known to be in England, six in Scotland, three in Northern Ireland and one in Wales. 

The Department of Health in England yesterday changed tack and announced it would no longer give running updates about where each patient is nor where they caught the infection.

Officials were accused of ‘secrecy’ and one critic said the public should be given as much information as possible so they could protect themselves – authorities in Singapore reveal the exact street where each case is diagnosed.

As the number of coronavirus cases is surging in the UK – it has risen from 13 to 90 in the past week – there are increasing concerns about the NHS’s ability to cope if an epidemic breaks out.

Calls to the NHS 111 helpline are up 40 per cent on the same time last year.

An audience member on Question Time raised the issue of panic buying

Matt Hancock last night

Matt Hancock (left) responded after he was challenged by an audience member (left) on the BBC’s flagship Question Time programme

More than 442,000 calls were placed to the 24/7 helpline between February 24 and March 1 – an average of 63,000 each day.

REVEALED: EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CORONAVIRUS IN THE UK 

What is the scale of the problem?

Cases of coronavirus in the UK more than doubled in 48 hours as the country moved towards the ‘delay phase’ of tackling the virus.

A patient with underlying health conditions became the first person in the UK to die after testing positive.

The older patient had been ‘in an out of hospital’ for other reasons but was admitted on Wednesday evening to the Royal Berkshire Hospital and tested positive.

Some 116 people have tested positive, including 105 in England, two in Wales, six in Scotland and three in Northern Ireland. Just two days ago there were 51 UK cases.

China has reported more than 80,000 cases and almost 3,000 deaths. Outside China, there have been more than 12,000 cases and over 200 deaths across more than 75 countries.

How bad could it get?

Half of all coronavirus cases in the UK are most likely to occur in just a three-week period, with 95 per cent of them over a nine-week period, according to England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty.

Professor Whitty said he had a ‘reasonably high degree of confidence’ that one per cent is at the ‘upper limit’ of the mortality rate for the virus, although Wuhan in China, which has a weaker health system, had seen an eight to nine per cent mortality rate for those aged 80 and over.

What is the Government doing now?

The UK has moved to the delay stage, which means measures can be ramped up to delay its spread, with possibilities including school closures, encouraging greater home working, and reducing the number of large-scale gatherings.

However, officials say closing schools would possibly only have a ‘marginal effect’, adding that children do not appear to be as badly affected by Covid-19 as other groups. 

In comparison, the figure for the same week last year was just 320,000 – or 45,000 calls per day.

The NHS today said call handlers are working ’round the clock’ to respond to the coronavirus outbreak.

Disgruntled patients have complained they have waited four hours for a call back or in the case of one IT worker, four days.

The NHS has already announced it would plough an extra £1.7million into the service to recruit an additional 500 staff, and set up a new coronavirus advice website.     

One of the confirmed cases is a female NHS worker in her thirties in Cumbria who caught the virus while on a family holiday in Italy. 

Three other workers in the health service are known to be among the 90. 

A GP in Brighton and a hospital doctor in nearby Worthing were among the first cases to be diagnosed in the UK in early February, after they went on holiday together with a man who caught it in Singapore.

And an NHS employee working out of offices in Maidstone, Kent, was also confirmed to have caught the disease. 

Professor Whitty said NHS staff would be urged to be extra careful about their own health and stay home from work if they felt ill.

He said he believed infections among NHS workers would be ‘similar to other areas’ because staff would be told to curb their usual habits of working through illness.

‘NHS staff are remarkably determined to come and serve their professions,’ he told ministers today.

‘They may come in with quite significant feelings of unwellness… We would definitely not wish them to do that in this situation.’ 

Asked whether he thought the NHS could cope with the pressure of an outbreak, Professor Whitty added that he expected it to fare better than hospitals in Wuhan.

He said: ‘At a peak, like Hubei, for short period of time their system was overwhelmed. 

‘We would not expect our system to be overwhelmed but would expect it to be radically changed.

‘[This is] one of the reasons we are hoping to see if people who are recently retired might, for a very short period of time, come in to fill gaps.

‘For sure, nobody would claim that we will have the optimal number of nurses but the system will flex around that.’

The government's battle plan has been divided into four stages – 'Contain', 'delay', 'research' and 'mitigate'

The government’s battle plan has been divided into four stages – ‘Contain’, ‘delay’, ‘research’ and ‘mitigate’ 

Eight of the new coronavirus cases – three in England, four in Scotland and one in Northern Ireland – caught the deadly infection in the UK, sparking fears the virus is rapidly spreading across the home nations.

The ripple effects of the spreading virus started to be felt among businesses in London and across the UK as companies sent employees home and locked down their offices.  

Sony and Nike yesterday closed offices in London and Sunderland ‘out of an abundance of caution’ as they order deep cleans of their buildings after employees were potentially exposed to the virus.

US accountancy firm Deloitte confirmed an employee from its London office was diagnosed with the coronavirus after travelling to Asia, and Goldsmith’s University confirmed a visitor to its student halls had fallen ill, sending tremors through the student community.

An Apple store in Belfast was seen being deep-cleaned by staff in hazmat suits yesterday – at least one case has been diagnosed in the Northern Irish city – and an office building in London’s Mayfair was closed.  

The office of Method Investments and Advisory Ltd was deserted after the building management allegedly told staff that somebody based there had been infected.

Government officials have been criticised for changing their policy on releasing the locations of coronavirus patients in England.

It had been doing so with every update until yesterday, and the Department of Health said it will now only provide weekly updates on Fridays.

Professor Whitty told the government’s Health and Social Care Committee this morning that, in future, it intends to provide rolling data and even a map.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson, appearing on ITV’s This Morning today, said: ‘It’s very important we are transparent.

‘PHE [Public Health England] needs to be absolutely sure of diagnosis so they’re immediately identifying regions that have incidents and then, within 24 hours, confirming the exact location.’  

The number of new cases of coronavirus is now more than 10 times as high outside China as it is within the country, where the outbreak started

The number of new cases of coronavirus is now more than 10 times as high outside China as it is within the country, where the outbreak started

NHS 111 HELPLINE CALLS SURGE AMID CORONAVIRUS TENSION

Calls to NHS 111 are up 40 per cent on last year with thousands of anxious Britons ringing for advice about coronavirus.

More than 442,000 calls were placed to the 24/7 helpline between February 24 and March 1 – an average of 63,000 each day.

In comparison, the figure for the same week last year was just 320,000 – or 45,000 calls per day.

The NHS today said call handlers are working ’round the clock’ to respond to the coronavirus outbreak.

Disgruntled patients have complained they have waited four hours for a call-back or, in the case of one IT worker, four days.

The NHS has already announced it would plough an extra £1.7million into the service to recruit an additional 500 staff, and set up a new coronavirus advice website.

A former regional director for Public Health England, Professor Paul Ashford, told The Guardian the government needed to be more up-front with its data.

He said: ‘They should be sharing the data as much as possible, to make the public equal partners in tackling this and help them make decisions about their own lives.

‘The public needs to know if it’s in their area on a daily basis.’ 

In his meeting with the health committee today, Professor Whitty said he expects the number of people infected in the UK to increase and that it was unlikely that officials would be able to prevent an outbreak.  

He warned ‘community transmission’ was happening in the UK, and the government’s focus had moved from the ‘contain’ phase to focus on efforts to ‘delay’ the spread. 

Professor Whitty said: ‘I’m expecting the number only to go up. 

‘There are now several – not large numbers – but several cases where we cannot see where this has come from in terms of a clear transmission.

‘Either because someone has come directly from overseas or because they’ve had a close contact with someone who has recently returned from overseas.

On the programme last night, a woman voiced her concerns about the reaction, asking 'how do we stop shortages by this?'

On the programme last night, a woman voiced her concerns about the reaction, asking ‘how do we stop shortages by this?’

‘That I think makes it highly likely therefore that there is some level of community transmission of this virus in the UK now.’

VIRGIN ATLANTIC TAKES 20% PAY CUT AS AIRLINE HITS VIRUS TURBULENCE 

Virgin Atlantic’s chief executive will take a 20 per cent pay cut as coronavirus fears continue to batter airlines across the world.

Shai Weiss’s salary will drop between April and July. The rest of the leadership team will have a 15 per cent pay cut over the four months. 

The British airline also revealed it will waive fees for customers wanting to change the dates of flights booked in March.

And it postponed plans to introduce its new long-haul flight from London Heathrow to Sao Paulo, Brazil, because of the decline. 

Virgin, owned by billionaire Sir Richard Branson, claimed the ‘sensible steps’ would ‘ensure we are in a stronger position’ once the coronavirus crisis is over.

The Financial Times reports Virgin Atlantic suffered a 40 per cent drop in customer demand compared with March last year.

Virgin Atlantic’s route to Sao Paulo was meant to launch at the end of the March, but is now being put off until October.

Damning figures from the International Air Transport Association yesterday showed airlines have suffered their worst month in a decade because of the outbreak.

The group’s chief economist Brian Pearce said airlines are now in ‘a crisis zone’, with more than 95,000 cases recorded across the world.

He warned passenger numbers are at their lowest rate since the Icelandic volcanic ash cloud disaster of April 2010.

Government officials have warned that up to 20 per cent of the UK’s workforce could be off sick if a full-blown epidemic breaks out on home soil.

But, in a massive boost for workers, it was yesterday announced that people will get statutory sick pay on the first day of their illness instead of the fourth, amid fears employees may not get paid if they take time off because of coronavirus.  

England’s chief medical officer yesterday warned the coronavirus will kill Britons and added an epidemic was ‘highly likely’ as the outbreak in Britain continues to accelerate. 

Professor Whitty’s chilling message for Britain’s 66million residents came after Prime Minister Boris Johnson admitted earlier this week that people’s lives may have to be put on hold for up to three months to fight the deadly virus.  

Under the government’s ‘battle plan’, schools could be shut, millions forced to work from home and people asked to stop eating out, going to the pub or shopping in a bid to keep them away from others.

Official disaster projections suggest as many as half a million people could die if the disease isn’t controlled, but evidence from China – where around 3,000 have died – suggests the real figure would be only a fraction of this.  

Coronavirus fears have now gripped Britain with more than 3,000 people getting tested by the NHS already this week. 

Dramatic commuters have resorted to wearing storage boxes and plastic bags over their heads to avoid catching the disease, while supermarket shelves have been emptied as Brits stockpile hand gels, loo roll and cleaning sprays. 

Leading scientists have admitted the confirmation of cases spreading within the UK was of ‘concern’ and said it was ‘right to be concerned’, adding: ‘We can probably expect to see an increase in the number of cases in the forthcoming days and weeks.’

CORONAVIRUS VACCINES ‘COULD START HUMAN TRIALS NEXT MONTH’ 

The first human trials of a coronavirus vaccine are expected to begin next month at a university in London and pharmaceutical company in the US.

Scientists at Imperial College in the English capital have been trialling their attempt at a vaccine on animals since mid-February.

And they could move onto human trials – the last phase of development before a drug can be used – as soon as April.

Meanwhile, US pharmaceutical companies Moderna and Inovio have also said they plan to start their own human trials next month.

The coronavirus, which causes a disease called COVID-19 and has infected more than 94,000 people around the world, cannot currently be cured or prevented.

People who catch it have to be isolated and wait for their body to fight off the illness, with medical help if they need it for symptoms or more serious infection.

A working vaccine could stop the bug in its tracks – some experts think it could become a permanent fixture in human society in the same way colds and flu are.

Imperial College has been working on its vaccine since the middle of January when Chinese scientists released the genetic information about the virus.

If low-level human trials are successful, the researchers will then move on to testing the vaccine in the real world where people are at risk of infection.

Passing all those tests could mean the vaccine is available to the public as early as next year.

US pharmaceutical company, Inovio, said it could have a million doses available by the end of the year and Moderna said it will also start human trials in April with aims of fast development.

Speaking on a podcast, Imperial College scientist Professor Robin Shattock said his team and others are creating vaccines ‘at a speed that’s never been realised before’.

He said: ‘Most vaccines would take five years in the discovery phase and at least one to two years to manufacture and get into clinical trials.

Professor Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College London, yesterday said the world had ‘tried very hard to stop this virus altogether’ but had failed. 

He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘You can see from the statistics, the number of countries affected that that battle is really over.’

More than 80 nations across the world have now confirmed cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus. 

Slovenia, Bosnia and Hungary have become the latest countries to record their first infections, leaving only a handful of European nations that have no cases.

Professor Ferguson said: ‘We’re now moving towards trying to slow the spread to allow the health systems to cope and try to mitigate the impact of the epidemic.’

He added the UK was in the ‘early stage’ of an epidemic and said time is running out to contain the crisis by reducing the spread with drastic measures.

Professor Ferguson did not specify what sort of measures would be needed – but Italy, which is battling its own crisis with more than 3,000 people infected and 107 dead, has urged residents to avoid kissing and has closed all its schools for a fortnight.   

The government has put 11 towns in the Lombardy and Veneto regions into total lockdown and is also considering closing cinemas and theatres and banning large public events, The Guardian reported.

People over the age of 75 have been told to stay at home to avoid getting ill.

In France, a country with around 285 infections, people have been advised to stop using the traditional cheek kiss greeting, la bise, and officials are urging citizens to wash their hands regularly.

The government has commandeered the entire country’s supply of face masks so it can make sure there are enough for medical workers and coronavirus patients.

Supermarket shelves are reportedly being stripped bare in Germany, where the government advises that households always keep at least 10 days’ worth of supplies in case of a disaster.

The outbreak in Germany has worsened in recent days and there are now at least 349 people confirmed to have the infection – more than any county in the Far East except China or South Korea.  

And in Spain, where there have been 222 cases, officials have advised that crowds be banned from some international sports matches and that large events be cancelled. 

BEWARE DOOR HANDLES, AD CAMPAIGN WARNS 

Ministers have launched an advertising blitz featuring a dirty door handle, amid frantic efforts to halt the rise of coronavirus in the UK.

The huge public information campaign will urge the public to wash their hands whenever they arrive somewhere.

The drive is designed to change people’s attitude to hygiene, amid fears the killer infection could become a seasonal problem.

The ad campaign warns that the coronavirus virus can live on hard surfaces for hours

The ad campaign warns that the coronavirus virus can live on hard surfaces for hours

Health chiefs decided to use the door handle picture after tests showed 96 per cent of people remembered the poster because of the disgust factor.

In comparison, only 85 per cent could recall a poster that simply told people to wash their hands, The Times reports.

A Government source told the newspaper: ‘Just information works on a cognitive level. But disgust works on an emotional level.’

Speaking about the rising number of cases in the UK, Dr Stephen Griffin, of the University of Leeds, said: ‘It is right to be concerned and prepared, but it is not a time to panic. 

‘The number of cases remains small compared to the UK population and the current strategy of containment is working by and large.

‘Nevertheless, we can probably expect to see an increase in the number of cases in the forthcoming days and weeks; the question is whether cases of unknown origin may start to become more significant.’ 

In an interview with Sky News yesterday, Professor Whitty said: ‘I think it is… almost certain there will be more cases in the UK, probably a lot more cases as the Prime Minister laid out,and we would expect some deaths, yes.’

Professor Whitty told ITV’s Good Morning Britain that people wearing masks in public – including on the London Underground – will have little effect on whether or not they catch coronavirus. 

The individual viruses which cause the disease are so small that they pass through many masks and people may be more likely to get it by touching a contaminated surface and then their face.

And he told presenters Piers Morgan and Susanna Reid: ‘It’s much more likely than not that we’re going to deal with a significant epidemic.

‘If people have got an infection and are being moved around a hospital then wearing masks is a good thing to do but for people just walking the streets it’s not going to have a significant effect.’

Piers Morgan pointed out that those who are buying masks might also contribute to fewer being available for the NHS. 

Retail analyst Patrick O’Brien, Global Data PLC, said: ‘We are seeing that online order slots at grocers are filling up are getting booked up for a couple of days ahead, which is highly unusual.

‘Panic buying raises the risk that products aren’t distributed across the country. Stockpiling is highly negative and very damaging.

‘Stockpiling in itself creates panic, and when people start to see gaps on the shelves it pushes people to jump on board and creates a sense of panic.

‘In these times we need to be thinking of the greater good and no act selfishly. Without panic buying they’ll be no issue.’

Toilet roll manufacturer WEPA UK said: ‘Our careful planning helps us to respond to any spike in demand for our products. So, while the current situation around coronavirus is highly unusual, we are well equipped to deal with it.

‘When there is a spike in demand from consumers for a product, we work closely with our retail partners and distribution network to manage it effectively. This can involve calling on our logistics teams to mobilise more transport in order to get products where they need to be, quickly and efficiently.’

‘At WEPA UK, we have close links with our retailers, which enable us to monitor consumer demand in real-time. We receive daily updates on how products are selling and broader consumer habits. Using this data, we work jointly with them to forecast when to dial up or down production.’

The calm, collected scientist leading UK’s fight against coronavirus: New chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty is a plague expert raised in Nigeria whose life was scarred as a teenager when his father was shot dead 

He’s only been in the job for five months, but now he has been thrust into the limelight as he leads Britain’s fight against the killer coronavirus.

Professor Chris Whitty, who was born in a quiet Surrey village but spent most of his childhood in Nigeria, was little known outside of medical circles before his appointment as England’s top doctor.

But as fears of a coronavirus crisis have grown, his calm, considered updates have impressed. Some people have even called for the 53-year-old chief medical officer to take over the Prime Minister’s outbreak updates.

England's chief medical officer Chris Whitty, who has only been in the job for five months, has been catapulted into the public consciousness as a result of the coronavirus outbreak

England’s chief medical officer Chris Whitty, who has only been in the job for five months, has been catapulted into the public consciousness as a result of the coronavirus outbreak

The experienced doctor, 53, took over from Dame Sally Davies last October, and until recently, was little known outside of medical circles

The experienced doctor, 53, took over from Dame Sally Davies last October, and until recently, was little known outside of medical circles

Britons have praised the Oxford University graduate for his no-nonsense approach, with him admitting on live TV yesterday there would be a ‘lot more’ cases in the UK.

In front of MPs of all stripes today, Professor Whitty – who has spent decades researching Ebola, AIDS and even the plague – reassured a parliament committee that older people are not necessarily a ‘goner’ if they get infected.

And on Tuesday he was hailed for telling Brits to ‘think’ about whether it was wise for them to travel abroad to countries with health services weaker than the NHS.

Earlier that day, Professor Whitty flanked Boris Johnson as the PM announced the Government’s drastic ‘battle plan’, which could see troops deployed on streets if the outbreak takes hold in the UK.

Whereas Dame Sally was branded the ‘nanny-in-chief’ for her call to ban eating on public transport, Professor Whitty has been hailed by colleagues across the board for being ‘calm’ and ‘collected’.

Professor Whitty, the youngest of four boys, spent much of his childhood in northern Nigeria after being born in Limpsfield, 11miles (18km) south of Croydon.

On Wednesday, the medical chief said on live TV that there would be 'a lot more' coronavirus in the UK and that deaths should expected

On Wednesday, the medical chief said on live TV that there would be ‘a lot more’ coronavirus in the UK and that deaths should expected

As a teenager in 1984, he tragically lost his father – who worked for the British Council – when he was shot three times in the head while driving in Athens.

The New York Times reported at the time that his 44-year-old father, Kenneth, was flagged down by a gunman at an intersection who asked him to roll down his window.

After studying at Pembroke College, Oxford, Professor Whitty worked as a doctor across Africa and Asia, where he treated malaria patients and published a vast array of academic papers at the same time.

The hard-working medic also somehow found time to study for an Open University diploma in Economics and gained an MBA from Heriott-Watt University.

Eyebrows were raised by the security service when he first joined the government, as the chief scientific adviser for the Department for International Development in 2009.

Intelligence chiefs allegedly questioned why he wasn’t married. But his phenomenal work output, would certainly have left little room for a family life.

As a researcher, Professor Whitty was awarded $40million (£31mn) by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for malaria research.

According to academic search engine Microsoft Scholar, the professor is named as an author on more than 200 scientific papers.

Topics range from the overdiagnosis of malaria in Tanzania, the use of steroids to treat meningitis in sub-Saharan Africa, and the death rate for mothers who undergo C-sections in Malawi.

During his time treating AIDS victims in Malawi, Professor Whitty began to gain a reputation for saying what he regards as uncomfortable truths.

In an academic article written in 1999, he said public health is ‘not a branch of morality’ and that ‘taking a stern moral line can sometimes be highly effective’.

He wrote medics should ‘differentiate sharply’ between stigmatising a pattern of behaviour – which ‘can often be justified’ – and stigmatising a person with a medical problem.

And Professor Whitty added that any doctor who argues that ‘stigma’ should never be used to try to ‘back up a public health message’ is being ‘profoundly naïve’.

Whitty's straight-talking approach has been praised by ordinary Britons, who took the chance to lay into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Government

Whitty’s straight-talking approach has been praised by ordinary Britons, who took the chance to lay into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Government

Throughout the coronavirus crisis, Number 10 has been accused of lacking transparency by refusing to give clear, concise updates.

And the Department of Health and Social Care was criticised said they would ‘no longer be tweeting information on the location of each new case.’

In contrast, Professor Whitty’s straight-talking approach has been praised by ordinary Britons, who took the chance to lay into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Government.

One man said on Twitter: ‘This Chris Whitty fella is good. Clear, authoritative, focused, objective. Puts the government into stark contrast.’

Another wrote: ‘Cancel the PM. Just show Chris Whitty. We need level heads, not blonde idiots.’

On Wednesday, the chief medical officer said on live TV that there would be ‘a lot more’ coronavirus in the UK and that deaths should expected.

He went on to tell Piers Morgan and Susanna Reid on Good Morning Britain that the country will likely end up in the grip of a ‘significant epidemic’.

Professor Whitty's straight-talking approach has been praised by ordinary Britons, who took the chance to lay into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Government

Professor Whitty’s straight-talking approach has been praised by ordinary Britons, who took the chance to lay into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Government

And he warned Britons that there is no point in them wearing masks because they won’t have a ‘significant effect’ in guarding against the virus, he said.

And today Professor Whitty hinted that there might not be enough space in mortuaries to cope with deaths and also warned that Britain has moved to a ‘delay’ phase in tackling the virus.

Professor Whitty’s colleagues were also quick to praise their fellow medic, describing him as ‘patient’, ‘courteous’, ‘confident’ and ‘clever’.

Professor Robin Grimes, the former chief scientist at the Foreign Office, was mentored by Professor Whitty when he joined the civil service.

He told MailOnline: ‘At that time Chris was chief scientist in DfID. He was an immensely helpful and patient teacher.

‘His calm and thoughtful approach to explaining what the evidence says and does not say are coming through as strongly in the current circumstances are they always have.’

Professor Simon Wessely, chair of psychological medicine at Kings College London, added that Whitty was ‘made for the post’ of chief medical advisor.

He added that he is ‘calm, collected, courteous, confident and clever.’ Before being appointed as England’s most senior medical advisor to the Government, Professor Whitty was the chief scientific adviser at the Department of Health and Social Care.

And between 2009 and 2015, he held the same job at the Department for International Development.

Before this, he lectured at the University of Malawi and returned to the UK to teach and take up a role as a consultant physician at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine in 2005.

Firms hit by coronavirus panic-buying ‘significantly increase’ production

Firms are ramping up production to cope with the massive demand brought on by coronavirus – as terrified Britons strip supermarket shelves of essentials. 

Shops including Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s, Morrisons and Waitrose are looking increasingly desolate as people begin stockpiling household goods.

Pictures show empty aisles as sections for hand soap and disinfectant, nappies and baby wipes as well as dried goods such as pasta and rice are cleared. 

Thirty-four new cases of the coronavirus were diagnosed in the UK yesterday – the biggest one-day rise so far – and a total of 90 people in Britain have now caught it. 

Supermarkets have told of how they are putting plans in place to cope with the unprecedented demand – as the number of cases is expected to rise. 

Firms have ramped up production and are working at ‘full capacity’ to ensure shelves can be re-stocked as analysts predict retailers ‘will keep the country fed.’

Retailers are even considering rationing household essentials such as toilet paper in response to panic buying, with some shoppers spending £900 online. 

It comes as the new chief of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey today warned businesses will need a bailout from government to get over the crisis. 

The Government’s Competition and Markets Authority has warned retailers and traders they could be prosecuted for trying to ‘exploit’ the coronavirus outbreak by selling protective products at inflated prices, adding it would consider asking the Government to introduce price controls if needed. 

A London supermarket's toilet paper aisle is left bare amid reports of stockpiling across the UK

A London supermarket’s toilet paper aisle is left bare amid reports of stockpiling across the UK

Harrogate, North Yorkshire: This is the empty handsoap section in the historic town's Morrisons

Harrogate, North Yorkshire: This is the empty handsoap section in the historic town’s Morrisons

A spokesman for PZ Cussons, which owns the popular Carex brand, spoke of how supermarket shortages were due to demand for its products.

‘We have significantly increased the production of Carex hand gel and hand wash products, with our manufacturing facilities working at full capacity in response to the exceptional demand being experienced,’ he added. 

‘We continue to work closely with our retail partners to ensure they are supplied as quickly as possible.’

Sainsbury’s said that ‘due to increased demand we have limited availability across our antibacterial ranges. We are working with our suppliers to secure more stock.’

It is not only cleaning materials that have been popular with customers.

Items including toilet rolls, crisps, bottled water, and pasta as well as ‘mega packs’ of detergents, dishwasher tablets and disinfectant have been snapped up. 

Senior food markets analyst Bruno Monteyne, a former Tesco executive, warned earlier this week: ‘If a major [coronavirus] outbreak happens, that will quickly lead to panic buying, empty shelves and food riots.’  

Mr Monteyne, who now works for stockbrokers Bernstein, told industry magazine The Grocer: ‘Plans are surely being drawn up with suppliers to rationalise product ranges when necessary. The objective isn’t to scaremonger… the industry has plans to deal with this.

‘Yes, it will be chaotic – and expect pictures of empty shelves – but the industry will keep the country fed.’

Twitter user @drinkwithasmile said his local supermarket had sold out of toilet roll, adding 'People really need to calm down!'

Twitter user @drinkwithasmile said his local supermarket had sold out of toilet roll, adding ‘People really need to calm down!’

People have shared photos of trolleys piled with stockpiled goods – canned foods and toilet paper appear to be a staple

People have shared photos of trolleys piled with stockpiled goods – canned foods and toilet paper appear to be a staple

Manufacturers said they were having to ramp up production to cope with demand

Manufacturers said they were having to ramp up production to cope with demand

Twitter user Ezra said they were buying essentials as a 'contingency plan if things get even worse in the UK'

Twitter user Ezra said they were buying essentials as a ‘contingency plan if things get even worse in the UK’

A survey suggests around half of retailers are having problems ordering new stock, particularly from overseas, as a result of coronavirus. 

The survey was commissioned by Retail Economics, which also warned: ‘Over a third – 39 per cent – of consumers are worried about product shortages as a result of the coronavirus, which has led to almost one in ten consumers to stockpile.’

Shoppers visiting Costo warehouses reported a shortage of both anti-bacterial cleaners and toilet paper. 

At the same time, a snapshot Daily Mail survey suggested there is a national rush to buy toilet paper, kitchen roll, large packs of pasta, rice, disinfectant, wipes, painkillers and Calpol medicine for children.

Shop staff complained that some people have grabbed trolley-fulls of loo rolls and other essentials, leaving others empty handed.

One industry source said: ‘Retailers regularly place limits on items in order to avoid one customer clearing them out.’

Just as supermarkets are seeing a spike in sales of canned and packaged products, there has also been a surge in online grocery orders.

A leading retail source said people are spending 5 to 10 per cent more than usual on an average online basket. And some shoppers have been spending up to £900 at one go.

The source said: ‘We don’t want people panic buying. There’s no need to go over the top but it is not a bad idea to have a few things in the cupboard anyway, regardless of coronavirus.’

He added: ‘There could be issues around large numbers of people being off sick. If, for example, the staff at the abattoir or the poultry farm can’t get to work then we won’t get the supplies.’

Retailers are taking emergency measures to cope with the impact of coronavirus on factories and suppliers overseas. Some have started stockpiling pasta, mozzarella and coffee to reduce the threat to imports.

Chief executive of Retail Economics, Richard Lim, said: ‘While the impacts may not yet be apparent on shop shelves, around a third of retailers suggested that ‘continuity of supply’ is currently their biggest concern.

‘Of even greater concern for other retailers is the impact on consumer confidence. Consumers are also increasingly nervous about access to essential items.’

WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS?

Someone who is infected with the coronavirus can spread it with just a simple cough or a sneeze, scientists say.

More than 3,300 people with the virus are now confirmed to have died and over 98,000 have been infected. Here’s what we know so far:

What is the coronavirus? 

A coronavirus is a type of virus which can cause illness in animals and people. Viruses break into cells inside their host and use them to reproduce itself and disrupt the body’s normal functions. Coronaviruses are named after the Latin word ‘corona’, which means crown, because they are encased by a spiked shell which resembles a royal crown.

The coronavirus from Wuhan is one which has never been seen before this outbreak. It has been named SARS-CoV-2 by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses. The name stands for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2.

Experts say the bug, which has killed around one in 50 patients since the outbreak began in December, is a ‘sister’ of the SARS illness which hit China in 2002, so has been named after it.

The disease that the virus causes has been named COVID-19, which stands for coronavirus disease 2019.

Dr Helena Maier, from the Pirbright Institute, said: ‘Coronaviruses are a family of viruses that infect a wide range of different species including humans, cattle, pigs, chickens, dogs, cats and wild animals. 

‘Until this new coronavirus was identified, there were only six different coronaviruses known to infect humans. Four of these cause a mild common cold-type illness, but since 2002 there has been the emergence of two new coronaviruses that can infect humans and result in more severe disease (Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) coronaviruses). 

‘Coronaviruses are known to be able to occasionally jump from one species to another and that is what happened in the case of SARS, MERS and the new coronavirus. The animal origin of the new coronavirus is not yet known.’ 

The first human cases were publicly reported from the Chinese city of Wuhan, where approximately 11million people live, after medics first started publicly reporting infections on December 31.

By January 8, 59 suspected cases had been reported and seven people were in critical condition. Tests were developed for the new virus and recorded cases started to surge.

The first person died that week and, by January 16, two were dead and 41 cases were confirmed. The next day, scientists predicted that 1,700 people had become infected, possibly up to 7,000.

Just a week after that, there had been more than 800 confirmed cases and those same scientists estimated that some 4,000 – possibly 9,700 – were infected in Wuhan alone. By that point, 26 people had died. 

By January 27, more than 2,800 people were confirmed to have been infected, 81 had died, and estimates of the total number of cases ranged from 100,000 to 350,000 in Wuhan alone.

By January 29, the number of deaths had risen to 132 and cases were in excess of 6,000.  

By February 5, there were more than 24,000 cases and 492 deaths.

By February 11, this had risen to more than 43,000 cases and 1,000 deaths. 

A change in the way cases are confirmed on February 13 – doctors decided to start using lung scans as a formal diagnosis, as well as laboratory tests – caused a spike in the number of cases, to more than 60,000 and to 1,369 deaths.

By February 25, around 80,000 people had been infected and some 2,700 had died. February 25 was the first day in the outbreak when fewer cases were diagnosed within China than in the rest of the world. 

Where does the virus come from?

According to scientists, the virus almost certainly came from bats. Coronaviruses in general tend to originate in animals – the similar SARS and MERS viruses are believed to have originated in civet cats and camels, respectively.

The first cases of COVID-19 came from people visiting or working in a live animal market in Wuhan, which has since been closed down for investigation.

Although the market is officially a seafood market, other dead and living animals were being sold there, including wolf cubs, salamanders, snakes, peacocks, porcupines and camel meat. 

A study by the Wuhan Institute of Virology, published in February 2020 in the scientific journal Nature, found that the genetic make-up virus samples found in patients in China is 96 per cent identical to a coronavirus they found in bats.

However, there were not many bats at the market so scientists say it was likely there was an animal which acted as a middle-man, contracting it from a bat before then transmitting it to a human. It has not yet been confirmed what type of animal this was.

Dr Michael Skinner, a virologist at Imperial College London, was not involved with the research but said: ‘The discovery definitely places the origin of nCoV in bats in China.

‘We still do not know whether another species served as an intermediate host to amplify the virus, and possibly even to bring it to the market, nor what species that host might have been.’  

So far the fatalities are quite low. Why are health experts so worried about it? 

Experts say the international community is concerned about the virus because so little is known about it and it appears to be spreading quickly.

It is similar to SARS, which infected 8,000 people and killed nearly 800 in an outbreak in Asia in 2003, in that it is a type of coronavirus which infects humans’ lungs. It is less deadly than SARS, however, which killed around one in 10 people, compared to approximately one in 50 for COVID-19.

Another reason for concern is that nobody has any immunity to the virus because they’ve never encountered it before. This means it may be able to cause more damage than viruses we come across often, like the flu or common cold.

Speaking at a briefing in January, Oxford University professor, Dr Peter Horby, said: ‘Novel viruses can spread much faster through the population than viruses which circulate all the time because we have no immunity to them.

‘Most seasonal flu viruses have a case fatality rate of less than one in 1,000 people. Here we’re talking about a virus where we don’t understand fully the severity spectrum but it’s possible the case fatality rate could be as high as two per cent.’

If the death rate is truly two per cent, that means two out of every 100 patients who get it will die. 

‘My feeling is it’s lower,’ Dr Horby added. ‘We’re probably missing this iceberg of milder cases. But that’s the current circumstance we’re in.

‘Two per cent case fatality rate is comparable to the Spanish Flu pandemic in 1918 so it is a significant concern globally.’

How does the virus spread?

The illness can spread between people just through coughs and sneezes, making it an extremely contagious infection. And it may also spread even before someone has symptoms.

It is believed to travel in the saliva and even through water in the eyes, therefore close contact, kissing, and sharing cutlery or utensils are all risky. 

Originally, people were thought to be catching it from a live animal market in Wuhan city. But cases soon began to emerge in people who had never been there, which forced medics to realise it was spreading from person to person.

There is now evidence that it can spread third hand – to someone from a person who caught it from another person.

What does the virus do to you? What are the symptoms?

Once someone has caught the COVID-19 virus it may take between two and 14 days, or even longer, for them to show any symptoms – but they may still be contagious during this time.

If and when they do become ill, typical signs include a runny nose, a cough, sore throat and a fever (high temperature). The vast majority of patients will recover from these without any issues, and many will need no medical help at all.

In a small group of patients, who seem mainly to be the elderly or those with long-term illnesses, it can lead to pneumonia. Pneumonia is an infection in which the insides of the lungs swell up and fill with fluid. It makes it increasingly difficult to breathe and, if left untreated, can be fatal and suffocate people.

Figures are showing that young children do not seem to be particularly badly affected by the virus, which they say is peculiar considering their susceptibility to flu, but it is not clear why. 

What have genetic tests revealed about the virus? 

Scientists in China have recorded the genetic sequences of around 19 strains of the virus and released them to experts working around the world. 

This allows others to study them, develop tests and potentially look into treating the illness they cause.   

Examinations have revealed the coronavirus did not change much – changing is known as mutating – much during the early stages of its spread.

However, the director-general of China’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Gao Fu, said the virus was mutating and adapting as it spread through people.

This means efforts to study the virus and to potentially control it may be made extra difficult because the virus might look different every time scientists analyse it.   

More study may be able to reveal whether the virus first infected a small number of people then change and spread from them, or whether there were various versions of the virus coming from animals which have developed separately.

How dangerous is the virus?  

The virus has a death rate of around two per cent. This is a similar death rate to the Spanish Flu outbreak which, in 1918, went on to kill around 50million people.

Experts have been conflicted since the beginning of the outbreak about whether the true number of people who are infected is significantly higher than the official numbers of recorded cases. Some people are expected to have such mild symptoms that they never even realise they are ill unless they’re tested, so only the more serious cases get discovered, making the death toll seem higher than it really is.

However, an investigation into government surveillance in China said it had found no reason to believe this was true.

Dr Bruce Aylward, a World Health Organization official who went on a mission to China, said there was no evidence that figures were only showing the tip of the iceberg, and said recording appeared to be accurate, Stat News reported.

Can the virus be cured? 

The COVID-19 virus cannot be cured and it is proving difficult to contain.

Antibiotics do not work against viruses, so they are out of the question. Antiviral drugs can work, but the process of understanding a virus then developing and producing drugs to treat it would take years and huge amounts of money.

No vaccine exists for the coronavirus yet and it’s not likely one will be developed in time to be of any use in this outbreak, for similar reasons to the above.

The National Institutes of Health in the US, and Baylor University in Waco, Texas, say they are working on a vaccine based on what they know about coronaviruses in general, using information from the SARS outbreak. But this may take a year or more to develop, according to Pharmaceutical Technology.

Currently, governments and health authorities are working to contain the virus and to care for patients who are sick and stop them infecting other people.

People who catch the illness are being quarantined in hospitals, where their symptoms can be treated and they will be away from the uninfected public.

And airports around the world are putting in place screening measures such as having doctors on-site, taking people’s temperatures to check for fevers and using thermal screening to spot those who might be ill (infection causes a raised temperature).

However, it can take weeks for symptoms to appear, so there is only a small likelihood that patients will be spotted up in an airport.

Is this outbreak an epidemic or a pandemic?   

The outbreak is an epidemic, which is when a disease takes hold of one community such as a country or region. 

Although it has spread to dozens of countries, the outbreak is not yet classed as a pandemic, which is defined by the World Health Organization as the ‘worldwide spread of a new disease’.

The head of WHO’s global infectious hazard preparedness, Dr Sylvie Briand, said: ‘Currently we are not in a pandemic. We are at the phase where it is an epidemic with multiple foci, and we try to extinguish the transmission in each of these foci,’ the Guardian reported.

She said that most cases outside of Hubei had been ‘spillover’ from the epicentre, so the disease wasn’t actually spreading actively around the world.